The future of Moores

salamiblackElectronics - Devices

Nov 27, 2013 (3 years and 11 months ago)

89 views

My outline of my task by 11023124
陈强
Chen Qiang

The future of Moore

s

M
y topic:

The Future of Moore

s Law:
Speed up or slow down?

My narrower subtopics:

1.

Introduction and the past and present of Moore

s Law.

2.

The opinions and evidences of speeding up
and slowing down in the
future.

3.

M
y opinion
and the evidences I use.

Conclusion.

My resources:

Database:

IEEE
Xplore

Digital Library
.

IEEE Journals & Magazines

1.

The future of the microprocessor business

Bass, M.J.; Christensen, C.M.

Spectrum, IEEE

Volume: 39 ,

Issue: 4

Digital Object Identifier:
10.1109/6.993786

Publication Year: 2002 , Page(s): 34
-

39

Cited by 3

A
bstract :

In a century in which technology left few aspects
of

life unchanged in some countries,
the

microprocessor

may have been
the

most transformative
of

all. In three decades it
has worked itself into our lives with a scope and depth that would have been
impossible to imagine during its early development. In this paper,
the

authors argue
that customi
zation and speed
-
to
-
market will continue to drive
the

industry from
the

bottom up

Relevance
**

2.

CMOS RF integrated circuits at 5 GHz and beyond

Lee, T.H.; Wong,
S
.
S
.

Proceedings of the IEEE

Volume: 88 ,

Issue: 10

Digital Object Id
entifier:
10.1109/5.888995

Publication Year: 2000 , Page(s): 1560
-

1571

Cited by 42

A
bstract:

A strong demand for wireless products, an insatiable thirst for spectrum tha
t pushes
carrier frequencies ever upward,
and

the constant quest for higher performance
at

lower power
and

cost, have recently driven the development of radio frequency
integrated

circuit

(RFIC) technology in unprecedented ways. These pressures are
stimula
ting novel solutions that allow RFICs to enjoy more of the benefits of Moore's
law than has been the case in the past. In addition to regular raw transistor speed
increases, the growing number of interconnect layers allows the realization of
improved induc
tors, capacitors,
and

transmission lines. A deeper understanding of
noise
at

both the device
and

circuit

level has improved the performance of low noise
amplifiers (LNAs)
and

oscillators. Finally, an appropriate raiding of
circuit

ideas dating
back to the
vacuum tube era enables excellent performance, even when working close
to the limits of a technology. This paper surveys some of these developments in the
context of low
-
power
RF

CMOS

technology, with a focus on an illustrative
implementation of a low
-
powe
r
5
-
GHz

wireless LAN receiver in 0.25
-
/spl mu/m
CMOS
.
Thanks to these recent advances in passive components
and

active
circuits
, the blocks
comprising the receiver consume a total of approximately 37 mW
. These blocks
include an image
-
reject LNA, image
-
reject downconverter,
and

a complete frequency
synthesizer. The overall noise figure is
5

dB,
and

the input
-
referred third
-
order
intercept (IIP3) is
-
2 dBm. To underscore that
5

GHz

does not represent an up
per
bound by any means, this paper concludes with a look
at

active
circuits

that function
beyond

15
-
20
GHz
,
and

a characterization of on
-
chip transmission lines up to 50
GHz
,
all in the context of how scaling is expected to shape future developments.

Relev
ance
*

3.

Moore's law: past, present and future

Schaller,
R.R.

Spectrum, IEEE

Volume: 34 ,

Issue: 6

Digital Object Identifier:
10.1109/6.591665

Publication Year: 1997 , Page(s): 52
-

59

Cited by 26

A
bstract :

A simple observation, made over 30 years ago, on the growth in the number of devices
per s
ilicon die has become the central driving force of one of the most dynamic of the
world'
s

industries. Because of the accuracy with which
Moore
'
s

Law

has predicted past
growth in IC complexity, it is viewed as a reliable method of calculating
future

trends
as well, setting the pace of innovation, and defining the rules and the very nature of
competition. And since the semiconductor portion of electronic consumer products
keeps growing by leaps and bounds, the
Law

has aroused in users and consumers an
expecta
tion of a continuous stream of faster, better, and cheaper high
-
technology
products. Even the policy implications of
Moore
'
s

Law

are significant: it is used as the
baseline assumption in the industry'
s

strategic road map for the next decade and a
half

Rele
vance
***

4.

Future

Directions in Electronic Computing and Information
Processing

Gea
-
Banacloche, J.; Kish, L.B.

Proceedings of the IEEE

Volume: 93 ,

Issue: 10

Digital Object Identifier:
10.1109/JPROC.2005.853549

Publication Year: 2005 , Page(
s): 1858
-

1863

Cited by 5

USE: To introduce
the opinions and evidences of speeding up and slowing down in the
future.

A
bstract:

We are facing a slowing down of the evolution of microprocessor performance. This is
part of a more general slowing down which is indicated by
, among others, the fact that IBM
has recently given up its PC market. By applying the principles of physics, we discuss some
characteristic features of the current situation
and

consider if some exotic new technologies
such as nanoelectronics or quantum
c
omputing

would be able to save us from this
slowdown.

Relevance
***


IEEE Conference Publications



Moore
'
s

law

is unconstitutional

Rhines, W.C.

VLSI Design, 2005. 18th International Conference on

Digital Object Identifier:
10.1109/ICVD.2005.121

Publication Year: 2005 , Page(s): 31


32

USE: to
introduc
tion th
e
topic.

A
bstract:

Moore
'
s

law

is

the empirical observation that component density and performance of
integrated circuits
-

approximately doubles every eighteen months. It
is

not a '
law
' in
the sense that basic principals of physics and thermodynamics cons
titute the rules of
nature. But there
is

a '
law
' that serves as the basis for
Moore
'
s

law
; it
is

the general
principle that governs learning curves, i.e. that efficiencies improve a fixed percentage
with increases in the total accumulated volume of product
ion, when analyzed on a
logarithmic scale. Analyzing current trends in integrated circuit technology reveals the
potential left to achieve performance, reliability and cost improvements via the
traditional means of shrinking design rules and increasing die

and wafer size. It also
suggests where nontraditional innovation
is

likely to have its greatest impact. This talk
explores these projections for future technology and suggest where the discontinuities
are most likely to occur.

Relevance
**

As the article are all download from IEEE(
Institute of Electrical and
Electronics Engineers
),the authority is dependable .




My outline:


Oct. get more detail information and decide to use which articles.


Nov. to get some help from my
English

teacher

and
professional

teacher.

Dec. begin to do the last work. To write
an

academic

article.