Download ... - Newton Independent

forestsaintregisOil and Offshore

Nov 8, 2013 (3 years and 7 months ago)

87 views

DAVE METZ
FM3

LORI WEIGEL
Public Opinion Strategies

SLIDE
2


Bi
-
partisan research team of Public Opinion Strategies
and Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates.


1,600 telephone
interviews with
actual 2012
voters
throughout
Ohio, Iowa, Virginia and Colorado (400 each).


Statistically
valid sample with margin of sampling error
+

4.9%
at the 95% confidence interval for
each state.


Interviews
conducted
November 7,
2012.


Interviews
were conducted on traditional land lines and
on cell phones
.

SLIDE
4

A majority of 2012 voters in these four swing
states said energy was very important in their
vote decision.

66%

60%

58%

57%

Colorado
Virginia
Iowa
Ohio
% 8-10
Energy “Very Important” Issue By State

SLIDE
6

Voters were asked which two or three energy
sources they would encourage in their state.


Natural gas


Coal


Solar power


Wind power


Oil


Energy efficiency


Nuclear

“Which
two or three of the following sources of energy would you most want to encourage the
use of
here in _____?”

SLIDE
7

Solar, wind and natural gas are tops in all four
states. Wind dominates preferences in Iowa.


Energy

Source

Ohio

Iowa

Virginia

Colorado

Natural gas

62%

47%

54%

54%

Wind power

46%

69%

44%

53%

Solar power

46%

47%

50%

54%

Energy efficiency

32%

31%

32%

26%

Coal

37%

23%

33%

24%

Oil

25%

14%

26%

24%

Nuclear

21%

19%

26%

19%

By
Combined Choice

SLIDE
9

70%

61%

65%

70%

24%

25%

27%

22%

Ohio
Iowa
Virginia
Colorado
Clear Difference
Little Difference
More than three
-
in
-
five in every state say that
there was a clear difference between the
candidates in their position on energy.

“And do you think there was a clear difference between the candidates on this issue, or would you say there was
little difference in their views on this issue
?”

SLIDE
10

Pulling from the candidates’ web sites, we simulated
their positions on energy and asked voters in these
states with whom they agreed more.

“I'd like to read you a short summary of some of
the
two presidential candidates' positions on energy and please
tell me which one you agree with
more…”

Barack Obama says he has taken steps to move us toward energy
independence and create an economy that's built to last. He's been a strong
supporter of domestic energy production proposing more offshore drilling,
has made historic investments in clean energy technology, and has nearly
doubled fuel
-
efficiency standards for cars and light trucks. He says that
because of the progress we've made, our dependence on foreign oil is the
lowest it's been in 16 years.

Mitt Romney supports taking advantage of North America's oil, gas and coal
reserves to create three million new jobs, increase tax revenue, achieve
energy independence by 2020, and lower energy prices for American families
and businesses. He says we should have a more rational approach to
regulation and have a government that facilitates private sector development
of new energy technologies, rather than picking energy winners and losers.

SLIDE
11

Ohio

Iowa

Virginia

Colorado

48%

51%

46%

49%

44%

42%

46%

46%

Difference
Score

+4%

+9%

0%

+3%

Voters stay fairly divided with the strongest
preference for Obama’s position in Iowa.

“I'd like to read you a short summary of some of
the
two presidential candidates' positions on energy and please
tell me which one you agree with
more…”

SLIDE
13

75%

72%

72%

69%

18%

21%

21%

25%

Iowa
Virginia
Colorado
Ohio
Agree
Disagree
There is strong agreement to transition toward
cleaner energy sources in each state.

“And do you agree or disagree that

rather
than using more coal, we should move toward
cleaner sources of energy
.”

+57%

+51%

+51%

+44%

These swing state voters are significantly more
supportive of a candidates who advocates
shifting to cleaner energy sources.

80%

75%

72%

70%

Iowa
Colorado
Virginia
Ohio
% More Likely

I'm going to read you some possible positions on energy that some candidates
in ____ could
take in the
future.
For
each one, please tell me whether you would be more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate who held that
view or took that
position…”

47%

Much More

44%

Much More

42%

Much More

36%

Much More

“Encourages
policies to transition away from coal and toward more natural
gas and renewable energy for electricity production
.”

There is strong intensity of support in all of these states
for a candidate who advocates continued public funding
of development of cleaner energy.

77%

76%

75%

72%

Iowa
Virginia
Ohio
Colorado
% More Likely

Supports continuing government investment in the
development of cleaner energy
sources.”

43%

Much More

49%

Much More

46%

Much More

49%

Much More

Voters are just as supportive of a candidate who
advocates for a strong renewable energy standard.

76%

70%

69%

67%

Iowa
Colorado
Virginia
Ohio
% More Likely

Supports
requiring utilities to get a greater share of their electricity
from renewable sources, like
wind and
solar power
.”

48%

Much More

49%

Much More

44%

Much More

39%

Much More

SLIDE
17


Energy
was
an important
factor in determining
the choice
of
candidates in this November’s
election in these four swing states.


Voters
say they heard
about
the candidates’ positions on energy;
perceived a clear difference between them; and weighed energy’s
importance about equally with issues like abortion, taxes or foreign
policy.


Voters overall and the critical sub
-
groups of swing
voters
that tend to
determine elections in these states express
a strong preference for
making a transition to renewable energy for
their state’s
future.


While many voters stand in agreement with the candidate for whom
they voted, many
key swing groups backed Obama’s energy policy in
this
election.


Voters overwhelmingly
say that
they want their state to move toward
more use of renewable
energy.


These swing state voters
indicate a clear preference to vote for
candidates who will back policies and public investments to
encourage more use of renewable energy
.

17145 West 62nd Circle

Golden, CO 80403

Phone (303) 324
-
7655

Fax (303) 433
-
4253

lori@pos.org

1999 Harrison St., Suite 1290

Oakland, CA 94612

Phone (510) 451
-
9521

Fax (510) 451
-
0384


Dave@FM3research.com