LTE Market View

bottlelewdMobile - Wireless

Dec 12, 2013 (3 years and 3 months ago)

135 views

LTE


Market
overv
iew


beyond 2010

Bill Tsao /
曹維陵

bill.tsao
@rohde
-
schwarz.com


Sales
Manager

Rohde & Schwarz
Taiwan, Ltd.


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
2

l
Wireless t
echnology evolution path


l
Wireless

Broadband Market

status






Agenda


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
3

2013/2014

2009/2010

Wireless t
echnology evolution path

GSM/

GPRS

EDGE, 200 kHz

DL: 473 kbps

UL: 473 kbps

EDGEevo

DL: 1.9 Mbps

UL: 947 kbps

HSDPA, 5 MHz

DL: 14.4 Mbps

UL: 2.0 Mbps

HSPA, 5 MHz

DL: 14.4 Mbps

UL: 5.76 Mbps

HSPA+, R7

DL: 28.0 Mbps

UL: 11.5 Mbps

2005/2006

2007/2008

2011/2012

HSPA+, R8

DL: 42.0 Mbps

UL: 11.5 Mbps

cdma

2000

1xEV
-
DO, Rev. 0

1.25 MHz

DL: 2.4 Mbps

UL: 153 kbps

1xEV
-
DO, Rev. A

1.25 MHz

DL: 3.1 Mbps

UL: 1.8 Mbps

1xEV
-
DO, Rev. B

5.0 MHz

DL: 14.7 Mbps

UL: 4.9 Mbps

HSPA+, R9

DL: 84 Mbps

UL: 23 Mbps

DO
-
Advanced

DL: 32 Mbps and beyond

UL: 12.4 Mbps and beyond

LTE
-
Advanced R10

DL: 1 Gbps (low mobility)

UL: 500 Mbps

Fixed WiMAX

scalable bandwidth

1.25 … 28 MHz

typical up to 15 Mbps

Mobile WiMAX, 802.16e

Up to 20 MHz

DL: 75 Mbps (2x2)

UL: 28 Mbps (1x2)

Advanced Mobile

WiMAX, 802.16m

DL: up to 1 Gbps (low mobility)

UL: up to 100 Mbps

VAMOS

Double Speech

Capacity

HSPA+, R10

DL: 84 Mbps

UL: 23 Mbps

LTE (4x4), R8+R9, 20MHz

DL: 300 Mbps

UL: 75 Mbps

UMTS

DL: 2.0 Mbps

UL: 2.0 Mbps


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
4

Wireless Broadband Worldwide

Customers by Technology


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
5

Mobile Broadband Market

Real mobile broadband is happening now

Q2/2010:

530 million mobile
broadband
subscriptions
(WCDMA, HSPA)**

German mobile data increase 2005
-
2009*

71% of the
German internet
users own an
internet capable
mobile user
device***

Sources:

*Bundesnetzagentur

**GSA (Global mobile Supplier Association)

***Accenture Mobile Web Watch


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
6

Wireless Broadband Worldwide


WiMAX operator/manufacturer broaden scope to (TD
-
)LTE

Yota chooses LTE
over WiMAX for
new market
rollouts, May 2010

US WiMAX service provider Clearwire
announced plans to trial LTE technology
this year, August 2010

Beceem Ends 4G Debate with
integrated 4G LTE/WiMAX
Chip, February 2010

Sequans’ LTE solutions feature
high performance category 3
throughput, TDD and FDD for
global compatibility, August
2010


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
7

l
Up to 22 LTE networks in service by end 2010

l
Up to 45 LTE networks in service by end 2012

Strong rising LTE commitments

A global operator community is ready to start

Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE”


June 7, 2010Slide


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
8

LTE Commitments

(status in Dec.2009)


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
9

LTE Commitments

(status in Jun.2010)


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
10

LTE commitments


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
11


LTE is commercially available

l
LTE commercial
launch on Dec 14, 2009


l
Two city networks in
Stockholm and Oslo

l
Gothenburg added in
August 2010

l
Population coverage at
launch: 400,000

l
Initially modems/USB
dongles for 4G only

l
Limited number of
modems to start with



Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
12

Germany


Digital Dividend

LTE 800
-

Broadband Access in rural areas

l
Deutsche Telekom starts nation wide LTE
-
Deployment

l
Around 500 LTE
-
Sites on Band 20 planned until end 2010

l
No mobility in the beginning

l
Further Band 7 deployment will start in 2011



l
Vodafone Germany to deploy LTE network

l
Nation wide LTE coverage by 2013

starting with Band 20

l
Plans to have 1,500 base stations upgraded by

the end of 2011 in rural areas without access

to broadband services.


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
13

LTE
-

front runners pushing the wireless industry

l
Verizon

providing coverage to about 100 million

people by the end of 2010. 2013 Verizon Wireless

expects to have same coverage with LTE as they do

have now with their 3G network based on 1xEV
-
DO Rev. A


l
NTT DOCOMO

is verifying its new commercial

LTE network in the Tokyo area, prior to the

full
-
scale launch of a commercial extra
-
high
-
speed

LTE service in December


l
China Mobile

TD
-
LTE trials currently running,

challenging timescales established for

prototype, dual
-
mode and multimode devices


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
14

Seattle, WA

Boston, MA

Verizon Wireless

Market update

l
During the Verizon web case on

June 15, 2010 Verizon Wireless Vice President,

Tony Lewis, was concrete about their plans to launch

LTE in 25 to 30 markets providing coverage to about 100
million people by the end of 2010,


Verizon will initially roll
-
out 10 cell sites in multiple key locations and will
increase the number of cell sites towards the end of the year to provide
more coverage,


By 2013 Verizon Wireless expects to have same coverage with LTE as
they do have now with their 3G network based on 1xEV
-
DO Rev. A,
which is covering today approximately 95% of the US population,


l
Verizon Wireless announced that Rohde & Schwarz has been
selected to provide test solutions for LTE device certification,


http://news.vzw.com/news/2010/02/pr2010
-
02
-
16r.html


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
15

NTT DoCoMo

Market update

l
NTT DOCOMO is the world’s leading mobile operator and provider of
advanced mobile services. The company serves over 56 million customers
in Japan, including 49 million using i
-
mode™, the world’s most popular
mobile e
-
mail/Internet platform, and 54 million using FOMA™, the world’s
original 3G mobile service based on W
-
CDMA.

l
TOKYO, JAPAN, June 8, 2010



NTT DOCOMO, INC. announced today that

on June 8 it will begin verifying its new

commercial mobile network system based

on the Long Term Evolution (LTE) protocol

in the Tokyo area, prior to the full
-
scale

launch of extra
-
high
-
speed LTE commercial

service in December.

l
TOKYO, JAPAN, July 29, 2010
-

NTT DOCOMO, INC. today unveiled the
brand name and logo of its forthcoming LTE next
-
generation mobile
service for the Japanese market, which is scheduled

to launch in December. The brand name is written

Xi™ and read “crossy.”


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
16

LTE ETWS application

Source: 3GPP TS 22.168 version 8.1.0


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
17

China Mobile

Market update

l
Li Yizhong, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, stated that TD
-
SCDMA subscribers in China are expected to reach 80 million by 2011. The
China Mobile TD
-
SCDMA system covered 284 cities by end 2009. China
Mobile had 7.69 million 3G/TD
-
SCDMA subscribers total at end March 2010.

l
China Mobile internet page:

„We undertook efforts to upgrade our core network to become fully IP
-
based, and
established a 2G and 3G soft switch IP network that offers superior quality and is the
world's biggest. We are committed to network quality improvement and TD technology
innovation. ... We also promoted the international standardization of TD
-
LTE in several
international organizations, paving the way for the continuous and healthy development
of the TD industry. We will debut our TD
-
LTE showcase network at the World

Expo Shanghai 2010.”



l
TD
-
LTE trials now

l
Timescales established for

prototype, dual
-
mode and

multimode devices

l
In
-
service estimated as 2012
-
2013


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
18

The LTE eco
-
system is building up

LTE FDD and TD
-
LTE

l
Several LTE platforms have been announced

by device and chipset manufacturers and were

demonstrated to carriers and at trade shows,

l
1st commercial LTE handsets are data cards,
majority LTE
-
only, limited to one frequency
band/bandwidth,

l
Next wave is going to be dual
-
mode or even triple,

supporting several frequency bands,

l
Various field trials are ongoing, using selected

infrastructure provider and device
manufacturer,

Close to 20
chip set and
terminal
manufacturers
reported
platforms into
GSA


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
19

LSTI Activities
-

Progress

Source: LSTI


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
20

LSTI


Initial Results


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
21

C
ertification test status

GCF&PTCRB

l
GCF on schedule to start the LTE certification test

l
Estimate to start with GCF CC V3.40 before the end of 2010

l
Certificate band includes:





~

~

760

825

1790

2050

2600

MHz

Band 13

Band 20

Band 3

Band 1

Band 38

~

2350

~

Band 40

~

Band 7

GCF FDD

GCF TDD


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
22

C
ertification test status

GCF&PTCRB

~

720

760

1950

Band 12

Band 17

Band 4

Band 13

MHz

PTCRB FDD

l

PTCRB plans to start the LTE certification test in Q1/2011

l

Certificate band includes:



Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
23

E
-
UTRA
Operating

Band

Uplink (UL) operating band

Downlink (DL) operating band

F
UL_low



F
UL_high
[MHz]

F
DL_low



F
DL_high
[MHz]

1

1920



1980

2110



2170

2

1850



1910

1930



1990

3

1710



1785

1805



1880

4

1710



1755

2110



2155

5

824



849

869



894

6

830



840

875



885

7

2500



2570

2620



2690

8

880



915

925



960

9

1749.9



1784.9

1844.9



1879.9

10

1710



1770

2110



2170

11

1427.9



1452.9

1475.9



1500.9

12

698



716

728



746

13

777



787

746



756

14

788



798

758



768

17

704



716

734



746

18

815



830

860



875

19

830



845

875



890

20

832

-

862

791

-

821

21

1447.9

-

1462.9

1495.9

-

1510.9

22

3410

-

3500

3510

-

3600

LTE/LTE
-
A Frequency Bands (FDD/TDD)

E
-
UTRA
Operating

Band

Uplink (UL) operating band

Downlink (DL) operating band

F
UL_low



F
UL_high
[MHz]

F
DL_low



F
DL_high
[MHz]

33

1900



1920

1900



1920

34

2010



2025

2010




2025

35

1850



1910

1850



1910

36

1930



1990

1930



1990

37

1910



1930

1910



1930

38

2570



2620

2570



2620

39

1880



1920

1880



1920

40

2300



2400

2300



2400


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
24

Voice over LTE


l
LTE is likely deployed focus on data service only

l
Voice service of LTE will be introduce in second step

l
One Voice initiative

l
Introduce by GSMA in Feb.2010

l
Using IP Multimedia System (IMS) base one 3GPP spec.

l
GSMA is driving both SMS and Voice service








Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
25

What Analyst say about LTE

l
Strategy Analytics
forecasts the global LTE handset market will
reach 150 million by 2013.

l
ABI Research
forecasts by 2013 operators will spend over $8.6
billion on LTE base stations infrastructure.

l
IDATE Consulting & Research


“LTE subscribers to reach 380 million by 2015”

l
Pyramid Research
predicts LTE will grow faster than 3G.


Sep
.2

2010 | LTE Market View |
26

Thank you

for your attention!