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MIMIC
working group meeting 16
th

December

2011



Kotka Maritime Research Centre

Heikinkatu 7, FI
-
4810
0 Kotka, FINLAND



www.merikotka.fi/mimic


-

1
-



Memorandum of the
MIMIC
-

Minimizing risks of maritime oil transport by holistic safety strategies
(CB 38)

working group

meeting



Date
:



16
th

December

2011
, 10:00


Location
:


Merikotka ry

Heikinkatu 7

48100 Kotka


Participants
:

Robert Aps; UTARTU

Mirva Salokorpi; KyAMK

Anne Fransas;

KyAMK

Piia Nygren; KMRA


Subject:

MIMIC working group meeting
, security issues



Attributes of Security



Outcome

of the project are
so called
security maps,

which

are used

later on for operational use.

Terms of
security were

discussed. When we are talking about security, we are talking about situation
s and measures.


Smart
Response

Web Concept




Resource network for maritime transport
safety/security threats response



A
ims to integrate outputs from

1.

Seatrack Web (
user
-
friendly

system for forecasts, backtracking and presentation of spreading of
oil, chemical and substances in water)

2.

Seatrack Web Response Module (booms)

3.

OILRISK Web ecologic
al risk assessment module

4.

ship grounding and collision risk assessment module

5.

security risk assessment module


SmartResponse Web is a
lready asked by Estonian authorities to
be
save
d

to their

server for use

as soon as
it will be operational
.


The objective

of S
mart
R
esponse
W
eb

is to maximize the utility of existing and available safety/security
threats response resources and minimize the response time to mitigate the effects of one or several
incidents at sea.


Important to remember that the S
mart
R
esponse
W
eb

and its security related module are to be developed
not only for Finland, Sweden and Estonia


the product is planned of universal use based on the different
Web Map Services or other type Web Services available.


The future is planned as follows:

(1) the MIMIC Project will develop the SmartResponse Web application (contains no
data).


(2) the ecological risk maps generated by the OILRISK Web based on the Seatrack Web oil spread and
booming modules, the ship grounding and collision risk maps and the

security risk assessment maps
published as the Web Map Services will be used as the input map layers for the further analysis
.


(
3
)
the “smart” response resources operational allocation algorithm will be developed with
t
he objective to
maximize the utiliz
ation of the

emergency response units while minimizing the response times
.


(4)
the competent

authorities in Finland, Sweden and Estonia will install the SmartResponse Web on their
servers and will use it when and as necessary
.


(5) the SmartResponse Web a
nd the
relevant Web Map Services
will be continuously maintained and
updated

(by the project partners?)
according to the appropriate arrangements.













MIMIC
working group meeting 16
th

December

2011



Kotka Maritime Research Centre

Heikinkatu 7, FI
-
4810
0 Kotka, FINLAND



www.merikotka.fi/mimic


-

2
-



What is the

MIMIC system?


MIMIC system


the system of Baltic Sea maritime traffic?


What are the
elements of the MIMIC system, how they are interconnected?


What are the
responsibility
levels of the Baltic Sea maritime traffic management incl. safety and security
issues
?


W
hat is the next international level, how these boards intera
cts, what are the i
nternational
agreements?


Task to think: when sys
tem is ready, where to place it
? One option is VTS

-
center
.


How the state of the Baltic Sea maritime traffic is defined and what does it mean “absence of unauthorized
access to or handling of, system state



List of security threats


E
ach threat should be characterized by the mandatory attributes:

coordinates, time, character
(authorities
:
what they need to see) etc.


If threat is associated with the moving vessel then some attributes (e.g. coordinates and
time) are dynamic
.


Have
UTARTU

planned any resources to collect
the info from

Estonian authorities
?
UTARTU
has

planned

meeting
s

with coast guard

and

other authorities

in the beginning in next year where they are collecting the
information.
Already
discussed with Estonian authorities, they are interested
.



SmartResponse Web

prototype will be open for the a
uthorized use by the end of January 2012
.
L
ist of the
threats with attributes will be dev
eloped from the very beginning at

a set of the corresponding security
related map layers
. Thus, final WP3 required MIMIC product


security maps will be under gradual
development from the very beginning.



Security related scenarios will then be developed, analyzed and documented using t
he SmartResponse Web
resources
.
Thus, final required MIMIC product


security maps will be under gradual development from the
very beginning



Next actions:


MIMIC hands
-
on workshop on the SmartResponse Web

protot
y
pe introduction for all interested project

partners
:

technical meeting 6 February

12:00
-
16:00


F
or what meetings and on what conditions our associated partners from Russia will be invited

KyAMK
: international

seminar in spring 2012


good o
c
c
as
ion to invite Russian
partners.


O
n what conditions ou
r Russian partners will p
articipate in the actual work? Inviting

them to seminars,
workshops as experts


budgeted in KMRC’s budget for 9900 eur
os

for

Key stakeholder travel costs to
participate project activities (FI
-
EST
-
SE
-
RU)


(
Makarov

Maritime Academy
, St Petersburg
,
Russian Academy
of
Sciences
, Institute of numerical mathemat
ics
,

Moscow, 1
-
2 professors)


Aims of Finnish authorities:


Baltic S
ea network for
maritime
security

research, Jorma Rytkönen:

aim is to creat
e

3 maps: one of the three
maps is a

map of threats (their aim is maybe wider than the aims in MIMIC)
,

they will be unofficial adviso
rs.
How to co
-
operate with them?

KyAMK is not analyzing of security threats, not doing mathematical models
.















MIMIC
working group meeting 16
th

December

2011



Kotka Maritime Research Centre

Heikinkatu 7, FI
-
4810
0 Kotka, FINLAND



www.merikotka.fi/mimic


-

3
-



If the threats


list
can be handled as it is
done in

FS
A
analysis
, then
there is the possibility for

some
numerical analysis

as well
, if

not
, maybe there
are some other methodologies available
. P
robability
of the
incident events is difficult to assess (often subjective probability is used) while the
assessment of the
consequences of the incident events can sometimes be done more accurately
.




The security threat list can

be seen as a list of variables. Each variable
th
en can take the different probability
related states. Thus these variables can be u
sed as the input into the Bayesian Belief Network models with
aim to visualize the basic probabilistic links and dependencies of the systems under consideration.


Output of this different kind of Bayesian Networks can be easily transformed into the georefe
renced objects
on the risk maps
, most probably that can be done even automatically.


Proposal: use
the base
map already
now;

ask severi
ty and
subjective
probability
rela
ted to
the listed threa
t
s
i
n the next interview
s
.

The first draft threat list should be used to develop the more detailed descriptions of
the listed threats.


Workshops: aim is to
develop the sufficient
response
support
capacity
with aim
to
reduce

the maritime
transport safety and security
risks.


Summary of next actions:




Both have
Meetings with authorities

(Finland, Estonia)



Next m
eeting 6
th

February with

7
th

February

general workshop for all partners
.
6
th F
ebruary
is a
security related meeting
. N
ot
just
methodological discussion,
main subject is
SmartResponse Web

(passwords, training) and expectation of authorities will be discussed.



I
ntensive methodological m
eeting with WP5 will be arranged
. What is our possible input for their
network
?



P
reliminary report

of KyAMK

will

b
e sen
t

week
51
to Robert.





Kotka
16
th

December
, 2011


Piia Nygren

Project Manager