Data mining

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25 Νοε 2013 (πριν από 3 χρόνια και 10 μήνες)

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DSS

http://www.thearling.com/text/dmwhite/dmwhite.htm

www.kmining.com/info_definitions.html

Data Mining


Data mining,
the extraction of hidden predictive
information from large databases


Data mining tools predict future trends and
behaviors, allowing businesses to make
proactive, knowledge
-
driven decisions


Data mining tools can answer business
questions that traditionally were too time
consuming to resolve


They scour databases for hidden patterns,
finding predictive information that experts may
miss because it lies outside their expectations

Data Mining


Forecasting sales


Targeting mailings toward specific
customers


Determining which products are likely
to be sold together


Finding sequences in the order that
customers add products to a shopping
cart


www.microsoft.com/.../tr/data
-
mining
-
addins.aspx

In the evolution from business data to business information (each new step has
built upon the previous one)

Steps in the Evolution of Data Mining


Data mining derives its name from the
similarities between searching for valuable
business information in a large database


for example, finding linked products in
gigabytes of store scanner data


and
mining a mountain for a vein of valuable
ore. Both processes require either sifting
through an immense amount of material,
or intelligently probing it to find exactly
where the value resides.


Automated prediction of trends and behaviors
. A typical
example of a predictive problem is targeted marketing. Data
mining uses data on past promotional mailings to identify the
targets most likely to maximize return on investment in future
mailings. Other predictive problems include forecasting
bankruptcy and other forms of default, and identifying
segments of a population likely to respond similarly to given
events.


Automated discovery of previously unknown patterns
. An
example of pattern discovery is the analysis of retail sales
data to identify seemingly unrelated products that are often
purchased together. Other pattern discovery problems include
detecting fraudulent credit card transactions and identifying
anomalous data that could represent data entry keying errors.

Data mining technology can generate new business
opportunities by providing these capabilities
:

How Data Mining Works


How exactly is data mining able to tell you important things that you
didn't know or what is going to happen next? The technique that is
used to perform these feats in data mining is called modeling.
Modeling is simply the act of building a model in one situation where
you know the answer and then applying it to another situation that
you don't. For instance, if you were looking for a sunken Spanish
galleon on the high seas the first thing you might do is to research
the times when Spanish treasure had been found by others in the
past. You might note that these ships often tend to be found off the
coast of Bermuda and that there are certain characteristics to the
ocean currents, and certain routes that have likely been taken by the
ship’s captains in that era. You note these similarities and build a
model that includes the characteristics that are common to the
locations of these sunken treasures. With these models in hand you
sail off looking for treasure where your model indicates it most likely
might be given a similar situation in the past. Hopefully, if you've got
a good model, you find your treasure.


For example, say that you are the director of marketing
for a telecommunications company and you'd like to
acquire some new long distance phone customers. You
could just randomly go out and mail coupons to the
general population
-

just as you could randomly sail the
seas looking for sunken treasure. In neither case would
you achieve the results you desired and of course you
have the opportunity to do much better than random
-

you could use your business experience stored in your
database to build a model. As the marketing director you
have access to a lot of information about all of your
customers: their age, sex, credit history and long
distance calling usage. The good news is that you also
have a lot of information about your prospective
customers: their age, sex, credit history etc. Your
problem is that you don't know the long distance calling
usage of these prospects (since they are most likely now
customers of your competition). You'd like to concentrate
on those prospects who have large amounts of long
distance usage. You can accomplish this by building a
model.


To best apply these data mining techniques, they must
be fully integrated with a data warehouse as well as
flexible interactive business analysis tools. Many data
mining tools currently operate outside of the warehouse,
requiring extra steps for extracting, importing, and
analyzing the data. Furthermore, when new insights
require operational implementation, integration with the
warehouse simplifies the application of results from data
mining. The resulting analytic data warehouse can be
applied to improve business processes throughout the
organization, in areas such as promotional campaign
management, fraud detection, new product rollout, and
so on

illustrates an architecture for advanced
analysis in a large data warehouse

Some successful application areas include:

1.
A pharmaceutical company can analyze its recent sales
force activity and their results to improve targeting of
high
-
value physicians and determine which marketing
activities will have the greatest impact in the next few
months. The data needs to include competitor market
activity as well as information about the local health
care systems. The results can be distributed to the
sales force via a wide
-
area network that enables the
representatives to review the recommendations from
the perspective of the key attributes in the decision
process. The ongoing, dynamic analysis of the data
warehouse allows best practices from throughout the
organization to be applied in specific sales situations.

2.
A credit card company can leverage its vast
warehouse of customer transaction data to
identify customers most likely to be interested
in a new credit product. Using a small test
mailing, the attributes of customers with an
affinity for the product can be identified.
Recent projects have indicated more than a
20
-
fold decrease in costs for targeted mailing
campaigns over conventional approaches.

3.
A diversified transportation company with a
large direct sales force can apply data mining
to identify the best prospects for its services.
Using data mining to analyze its own customer
experience, this company can build a unique
segmentation identifying the attributes of high
-
value prospects. Applying this segmentation to
a general business database such as those
provided by Dun & Bradstreet can yield a
prioritized list of prospects by region.

4.
A large consumer package goods
company can apply data mining to improve
its sales process to retailers. Data from
consumer panels, shipments, and
competitor activity can be applied to
understand the reasons for brand and
store switching. Through this analysis, the
manufacturer can select promotional
strategies that best reach their target
customer segments.

Each of these examples have a clear common ground. They leverage the knowledge
about customers implicit in a data warehouse to reduce costs and improve the value of
customer relationships. These organizations can now focus their efforts on the most
important (profitable) customers and prospects, and design targeted marketing
strategies to best reach them.

OLAP


On
-
line analytical processing. Refers to
array
-
oriented database applications that
allow users to view, navigate through,
manipulate, and analyze multidimensional
databases.

http://www.filebuzz.com/software_screenshot/full/61412
-
RadarCube_OLAP_ASP_NET_Direct.jpg

http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2154/2497588470_07f9d36ca6.jpg

OLAP


Until the mid
-
nineties, performing OLAP analysis
was an extremely costly process mainly restricted
to larger organizations (the major OLAP vendor
are Hyperion, Cognos, Business Objects,
MicroStrategy). This has changed as the major
database vendor have started to incorporate
OLAP modules within their database offering
-

Microsoft SQL Server 2000 with Analysis
Services, Oracle with Express and Darwin, and
IBM with DB2.

http://www.dwreview.com/OLAP/Introduction_OLAP.html

Cont...

OLAP


OLAPs are designed to give an overview
analysis of what happened. Hence the
data storage (i.e. data modeling) has to be
set up differently. The most common
method is called the star design.


The central table in an OLAP start data
model is called the fact table. The
surrounding tables are called the
dimensions. Using the above data model, it
is possible to build reports that answer
questions such as:


The supervisor that gave the most discounts.


The quantity shipped on a particular date,
month, year or quarter.


In which zip code did product A sell the most.


To obtain answers, such as the ones
above, from a data model OLAP
cubes

are
created (or multi
-
dimensional expressions).


OLAP Example:

http://www.rittmanmead.com/2005/04/positioning
-
oraclebi
-
discoverer
-
for
-
olap
-
2/

OLAP Example:

http://www.rittmanmead.com/2005/04/positioning
-
oraclebi
-
discoverer
-
for
-
olap
-
2/

OLAP Example:

http://www.cimconcepts.com/svcs_rpt.shtml

Data Mining vs OLAP


Both data mining and OLAP are two of the
common Business Intelligence (BI) technologies.
Business intelligence refers to computer
-
based
methods for identifying and extracting useful
information from business data.


Data mining deals with extracting interesting
patterns from large sets of data. It combines
many methods from artificial intelligence,
statistics and database management.


OLAP is a compilation of ways to query multi
-
dimensional databases.

http://www.differencebetween.com/difference
-
between
-
data
-
mining
-
and
-
vs
-
olap/#ixzz1JjXKPFqe

Cont...


Data mining usually deals with following four tasks:
clustering, classification, regression, and association.
Clustering is identifying similar groups from unstructured
data. Classification is learning rules that can be applied to
new data and will typically include following steps:
preprocessing of data, designing modeling,
learning/feature selection and evaluation/validation.
Regression is finding functions with minimal error to
model data. And association is looking for
relationships

between variables. Data mining is usually used to answer
questions like what are the main products that might help
to obtain high profit next year in Wal
-
Mart.


Typically OLAP is used for marketing, budgeting,
forecasting and similar applications. a matrix is used to
display the output of an OLAP. The rows and columns are
formed by the dimensions of the query. They often use
methods of aggregation on multiple tables to obtain
summaries. For example, it can be used to find out about
the sales of this year in Wal
-
Mart compared to last year?
What is the prediction on the sales in the next quarter?
What can be said about the trend by looking at the
percentage change?

Cont...


Although it is obvious that Data mining and
OLAP are similar because they operate on data
to gain intelligence, the main difference comes
from how they operate on data. OLAP tools
provides multidimensional data analysis and
they provide summaries of the data but
contrastingly, data mining focuses on ratios,
patterns and influences in the set of data. That is
an OLAP deal with aggregation, which boils
down to the operation of data via “addition” but
data mining corresponds to “division”. Other
notable difference is that while data mining tools
model data and return actionable rules, OLAP
will conduct comparison and contrast techniques
along business dimension in real time.

GIS

http://www.boluarastirma.gov.tr/index.php?sayfa=icerik&id=44&main_menu=37

GIS


A geographic information system (GIS)
allows us to view, understand, question,
interpret, and visualize data in many ways
that reveal relationships, patterns, and
trends in the form of maps, globes,
reports, and charts.

http://gis.com/

What Can You Do with GIS?



1.
Map Where Things Are


Mapping where things are lets you find places
that have the features you're looking for, and
to see where to take action. Finding
patterns

Looking at the distribution of
features on the map instead of just an
individual feature, you can see patterns
emerge.

Cont...

What Can You Do with GIS?


2. Map Quantities


People map quantities, like where the most and least
are, to find places that meet their criteria and take
action, or to see the relationships between places.
For example, a catalog company selling children's
clothes would want to find ZIP Codes not only around
their store, but those ZIP Codes with many young
families with relatively high income. Or, public health
officials might not only want to map physicians, but
also map the numbers of physicians per 1,000 people
in each census tract to see which areas are
adequately served, and which are not.

Cont...

What Can You Do with GIS?


3. Map Densities


While you can see concentrations by simply mapping
the locations of features, in areas with many features
it may be difficult to see which areas have a higher
concentration than others. A density map lets you
measure the number of features using a uniform areal
unit, such as acres or square miles, so you can
clearly see the distribution. Mapping density is
especially useful when mapping areas, such as
census tracts or counties, which vary greatly in size.
On maps showing the number of people per census
tract, the larger tracts might have more people than
smaller ones. But some smaller tracts might have
more people per square mile

a higher density.

Cont...

What Can You Do with GIS?


4. Find What's Inside


Use GIS to monitor what's happening and to
take specific action by mapping what's inside
a specific area. For example, a district
attorney would monitor drug
-
related arrests to
find out if an arrest is within 1,000 feet of a
school
--
if so, stiffer penalties apply.

Cont...

What Can You Do with GIS?


5. Find What's Nearby (
Map Change
)


Map the change in an area to anticipate future
conditions, decide on a course of action, or to evaluate
the results of an action or policy.


By mapping where and how things move over a period of time,
you can gain insight into how they behave. For example, a
meteorologist might study the paths of hurricanes to predict
where and when they might occur in the future.


Map change to anticipate future needs. For example, a police
chief might study how crime patterns change from month to
month to help decide where officers should be assigned.


Map conditions before and after an action or event to see the
impact. A retail analyst might map the change in store sales
before and after a regional ad campaign to see where the ads
were most effective.


Cont...

GIS example:

http://demo.dtsagile.com/wildfire/


GIS example:

http://www.esri.com/industries.html